From around 2035, quantum computers will have a 50% probability of breaking current encryption

A short industry write-up, framed for automotive security, that reports expert-survey estimates for when a quantum computer could break today's asymmetric cryptography. Its headline figure — a roughly 50% probability "from around 2035" — traces to recurring expert surveys (such as the Global Risk Institute's annual quantum-threat timeline), not to original research by the authors.

It is included as one representative summary of the survey-based timeline, not as a primary source. The underlying estimates are opinions aggregated across researchers and carry wide uncertainty; this topic treats the timeline as genuinely contested rather than settled by any single figure.